Balancing the budget is an exceptionally easy task. In fact, there are an infinite combination of revenue and spending levels that will balance the budget: we could have the government be nonexistent (0% of GDP), all-powerful (100% of GDP), or somewhere in between (say, 20% of GDP).
Saying “we can’t afford something” with respect to the government is absurd. We can always levy more taxes, especially when the government is only at about 20% of GDP. There’s still that other 80% out there, and in the United States, that’s quite a lot of money — on the order of like ten trillion dollars each year. We have plenty of money, and the government has the right and the power to access it if need be.
The “we can’t afford it” line is simply code for something else — namely, “we don’t want it.” The CPC budget shows how we can afford almost everything we want: social insurance, fair payment for doctors, financial regulation, and more, simply by balancing the budget at about 22% of GDP. The Paul Ryan budget shows how we can afford everything they want: tax cuts for the rich, simply by eliminating spending on the poor and balancing the budget at around 18% of GDP.
When they say “we can’t afford Medicare” they mean “we don’t want Medicare.” When they say “we can’t afford Planned Parenthood” they mean “we don’t want Planned Parenthood.” When they say “we can afford tax cuts for the rich” they mean “we want tax cuts for the rich.” You get the idea.
The preferred social policy dictates the fiscal policy. If you want the poor and the sick to suffer as the free market demands, you restrict the size of government so it can’t help them. If you feel a moral obligation to help those people, you make government larger so it can.
What we have is a system of compromise. Right now, we give the poor a very, very small amount of help, but we also make sure not to tax the rich all that much to do it. Unfortunately the compromise falls out of balance in times of recession, since our tax revenues plummet and and obligations expand. The conservative coalition right now is using that imbalance as an excuse to say “we are clearly giving the poor too much — we can’t afford it.” But by ignoring the revenue side of the equation, they must also be implicitly saying “we are taxing the rich too much — they can’t afford it.”
Naturally this is bunk. But regardless of the specific examples visible in this year’s budget debate, the overarching lesson is much more important: that fiscal policy is only an implement of social policy. You decide what you want the government to do, then you decide how to pay for it. It does not work the other way around.
So anyone who tries to separate out fiscal policy from social policy — as Ezra Klein wonderfully illustrates today — is pulling the wool over your eyes. If they’re trying to tell you it’s simply a numbers game, then they’re lying to you. The goal is not to balance the budget. It’s to balance the budget where and on what we want it. For us it means a higher number, as we see public goods and collective consumption to be the morally and socially responsible approach. For them it means a lower number, as they are strict adherents to the cult of the free market, and therefore have to claim “in the absence of government support, whatever is, is right.”
Here’s what happens in the absence of government support: the US becomes a third-world country that gets outsourced to. And here are some ideas as to what we can do to avoid that future.
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